Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.392110 0.428976 0.468336 0.513583 0.564277 0.619456 0.684238
2025-12-07 0.327051 0.377702 0.435487 0.506692 0.592624 0.693671 0.822506
2025-12-14 0.288413 0.345131 0.412749 0.500088 0.611055 0.748886 0.935480
2025-12-21 0.255812 0.314492 0.386842 0.483775 0.612032 0.778493 1.015182
2025-12-28 0.240308 0.302745 0.382125 0.492129 0.643317 0.847897 1.152911
2026-01-04 0.226767 0.291836 0.376814 0.498151 0.670694 0.913195 1.290937
2026-01-11 0.214280 0.281003 0.370246 0.501139 0.693110 0.972479 1.425782
2026-01-18 0.203063 0.270850 0.363496 0.502755 0.712907 1.028842 1.561688
2026-01-25 0.194071 0.263001 0.359145 0.507061 0.736458 1.092352 1.715791
2026-02-01 0.181883 0.249738 0.345990 0.496979 0.736588 1.118411 1.809473
2026-02-08 0.174379 0.242700 0.341317 0.499185 0.755843 1.176620 1.965368
2026-02-15 0.166035 0.233875 0.333330 0.495452 0.764842 1.218057 2.095497
2026-02-22 0.159764 0.227894 0.329418 0.498129 0.785075 1.281471 2.276966
2026-03-01 0.151759 0.218845 0.320241 0.491590 0.789057 1.316531 2.408320
2026-03-08 0.144477 0.210489 0.311604 0.485223 0.792587 1.350741 2.542132
2026-03-15 0.135729 0.199396 0.297988 0.469498 0.778061 1.349571 2.601327
2026-03-22 0.132664 0.197083 0.298314 0.477551 0.807178 1.434484 2.858488
2026-03-29 0.129341 0.194163 0.297435 0.483356 0.832476 1.514360 3.116865
2026-04-05 0.125668 0.190474 0.295043 0.486236 0.852337 1.585146 3.365366
2026-04-12 0.121984 0.186578 0.292063 0.487794 0.869651 1.652295 3.616032
2026-04-19 0.118988 0.183666 0.290579 0.491944 0.892356 1.733252 3.915313
2026-04-26 0.113792 0.176833 0.281980 0.482226 0.886125 1.750011 4.049741
2026-05-03 0.110875 0.173729 0.279721 0.484352 0.904437 1.823679 4.350751